I assume you mean casualties? In that case outright deaths would be approximately a third of that.
Sure, that's certainly a valid point. But at the very least it shows that they don't expect the sanctions to stop anytime soon. Of course that doesn't necessarily mean that a war with Taiwan is coming.
Country builds up industry to not rely on opposing country in preparation for war.
Maybe we should be slightly concerned about that? IMHO it shows that Chinas ambition for Taiwan are quite serious.
Kannst du genauer erklären was du meinst? Vlt bin ich einfach schon auf deren Rhetorik reingefallen aber es macht mMn schon Sinn zwischen Einwanderern, die man nicht ablehnen (d.h. Asylanten), und Einwanderern, die man ablehnen kann, zu unterscheiden.
Einschränkungen bei Asylrecht sind ein ganz anderes Kaliber als Einschränkungen beim Immigrationsrecht und sollte insofern auch getrennt behandelt werden.
Not really as isotonic drinks are about having the same proportions of water and electrolytes as your blood.
Imagine completely evaporating a isotonic drink. Now you've got a pulver left. Obviously, this isn't going to be refreshing (unless you mix it with water again)
My comment was intended to highlight how fundamentally our views differ and not to start a discussion. I'm aware that my view is not completely neutral but I feel like your view is too different from mine to productively discuss them.
Yes, the Russian economy is doing better than expected but, obviously, a country at war with embargoes and large amounts of the workforce at the front will suffer. And yes, the current counter-offensive is not going as well as planned but the fact that Ukraine even started it and is making, albeit small, gains shows that they are at least on approximately even footing.
You're right, our views differ quite a lot. In your comment I disagree with basically every conclusion. The Russian economy is worse off, the war will end with Russia getting at most Crimea and a coup in the US is completely unrealistic as of now.
Time will tell.
TBH, I haven't read that much about the aftermath. I only heard some parts (e.g. the secret services) kept quiet for quite some time which suggests for me that they didn't really care either way. If everyone really supported him it does make a coup/collapse less likely. The impression I got was simply:
I also don't think the gang of eight is that diectly relatable because the SU collapsed. Here, it would simply mean replacing one president for another. In theory, a coup is as simple as a successful assasination (ignoring the successor question).
For me, it doesn't look like there is any way out for Putin. Winning the war is unrealistic at this time, would take a long time and would result in a long embargo from the west, destroying the economy even further. Losing the war will probably result in extreme protests with all the casualties that already occurred. We will see whatever happens. I assume that Prigozhin failed not because the elite support Putin but because they are even more afraid of him. I assume everyone with money wants the war to end.
And about the USA, yeah that's a bit of a whataboutism. There is a lot of division there and I think they are one bad president away from significantly worsening the situation. We will see about that too I guess.
First things first, the US is going to deny involvment either way. So this means nothing TBH.
Lukashenko being involved is quite weird to me and makes me wonder if there is something going on there. Does Prigozhin really think that his life is safe now? Or was it simply delayed (e.g. because of assistance by Lukashenko in a future coup?). It doesn't really make sense either way.
I mean, I agree with your points here. Honestly, I'm wondering why he started in the first place as his life still is in danger.
I just don't agree that this strengthened the state/Putin. In a way, if someone like Prigozhin without any realistic chance tries a coup and gets away with his life (at least for now) doesn't this show how weak Russia currently is?
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