https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1672681034817626112?s=20
šØ This week's Opinium poll for @ObserverUK.
Labour makes gains and leads by 18 points.
Labour 44% (+3)
Conservatives 26% (-3)
Lib Dems 8% (-3)
SNP 2% (-1)
Green 7% (n/c)
Reform UK 10% (+3)
| Party | Pred % | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|
| CON | 26.0% | 181 |
| LAB | 44.0% | 402 |
| LD | 8.0% | 28 |
| REFUK | 10.0% | 0 |
| Green | 7.0% | 1 |
| SNP | 2% | 13 |
| PC | 0.5% | 3 |
| Party | 2019 Votes | 2019 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 44.7% | 375 | 26.0% | 6 | 234 | -228 | 147 |
| LAB | 33.0% | 198 | 44.0% | 262 | 0 | +262 | 460 |
| LIB | 11.8% | 8 | 8% | 6 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| Reform | 2.1% | 0 | 10% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Green | 2.8% | 1 | 7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| SNP | 4.0% | 48 | 2% | 0 | 39 | -39 | 9 |
| PlaidC | 0.5% | 2 | 0.4% | 1 | 1 | +0 | 2 |
| Other | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| N.Ire | - | 18 | - | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
| Con | Lab | Lib | REF | Green | SNP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 34% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 28% |
1% for the Libs in Scotland is 100% sampling error, they had just 1 person in 126 in Scotland go for the Lib Dems, so major dose of salt...
Is Reform UK actually going to stand any candidates? Are they only advertising on social media, so I don't see it? They are literally invisible to me.