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Just a moment...
https://www.axios.com/2024/08/12/harris-trump-economy-poll-2024-election?utm=axios_app
For my entire lifetime, there's been an obvious trend of Republicans absolutely fucking the economy and then Democrats cleaning up the mess. Anybody who trusts trump more than Harris in this topic is incapable of pattern recognition, even if trump were "one of the good ones" if you believe such a thing exists. It just so happens that he is particularly terrible on every topic, including the economy, but even if he weren't, any modern Republican would still be poison for the American economy.
People are just extremely ideologically divided. Many Republicans may not be particularly fond of Trump, but he's their only choice if they want to stay true to their ideology. So they end up defending his economic policies either way. One of the many "blessings" of a two-party system.
So, disclaimer that polls are shit and should always be taken with a truckload of salt, BUT...
It's interesting that half-ish of the people in the "neither" camp seem to have jumped to Biden/Harris, and half-ish of the "neither" camp has stayed exactly where they were. Trump's support is totally frozen, and trust in Dems has increased every month since February except right after the debate debacle. We certainly shouldn't draw sweeping conclusions from one data point, but this does lend support to the argument that Biden was singularly weighing the ticket down amid otherwise pretty solid fundamentals.
Most of the increase for Harris is probably Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents who were dissatisfied with Biden at the top of the ticket. But they probably would have voted for Biden regardless. This move minimizes the risk that these voters wouldn't show up to vote. Very good sign for Democrats.
There probably just isn't much more than 41-42 percent to get for Republicans at this point.
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