If Max Verstappen, keeps wining the next races, by round 17, Qatar Grand Prix, he will secure the title.

With the current 255 points and a 99 points lead over Sergio Pérez, and a assuming maximum points to both drives as first and second.

Max Verstappen will have a 148 point lead after Qatar Grand Prix, and only 146 maximum points reaming for the last 5 laps.

But based on the average point of Sergio Pérez, with 11 points for the last 5 rounds, it will be secured but round 16, Japanese Grand Prix.

going in RemaingMaxSergio Pérez avg, 11 pointsdeltaSergio Pérez 18 + 7 spintdelta
Hungarian Grand Prix3442551569915699
Belgian Grand Prix318281167114174107
Dutch Grand Prix284315178137199116
Italian Grand Prix258341189152217124
Singapore Grand Prix232367200167235132
Japanese Grand Prix206393211182253140
Qatar Grand Prix180419222197271148
United States Grand Prix146453233220296157
Mexico City Grand Prix112487244243321166
São Paulo Grand Prix86513255258339174
Las Vegas Grand Prix52547266281364183
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix26573277296382191
599288311400199