Westminster Voting Intention: š¹ LAB: 50% (+4) š³ CON: 25% (-4) š¶ LDM: 9% (-3) š GRN: 7% (+2) ā”ļø RFM: 4% (=) šļø SNP: 3% (+1) Via @Deltapoll
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https://twitter.com/DeltapollUK/status/1694025320628728128
Westminster Voting Intention:
š¹ LAB: 50% (+4) š³ CON: 25% (-4) š¶ LDM: 9% (-3) š GRN: 7% (+2) ā”ļø RFM: 4% (=) šļø SNP: 3% (+1)
Via @DeltapollUK, 17-21 Aug. Changes w/ 9-11 Aug.
Flavible:
| Party | Pred % | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|
| CON š³ | 25.0% | 130 |
| LAB š¹ | 50.0% | 427 |
| LD š¶ | 9.0% | 35 |
| REFUK ā”ļø | 4.0% | 0 |
| Green š | 7.0% | 1 |
| SNP šļø | 3% | 31 |
| PC š® | 1% | 4 |
Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries'):
| Party | 2019 Votes | 2019 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON š³ | 44.7% | 376 | 25.0% | 0 | 297 | -297 | 79 |
| LAB š¹ | 33.0% | 197 | 50.0% | 330 | 0 | +330 | 527 |
| LIB š¶ | 11.8% | 8 | 9% | 11 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| Reform ā”ļø | 2.1% | 0 | 4% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Green š | 2.8% | 1 | 7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| SNP šļø | 4.0% | 48 | 3.1% | 0 | 44 | -44 | 4 |
| PlaidC š® | 0.5% | 2 | 0.4% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| Other ā¬ļø | 1.1% | 0 | 1.1% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 1 |
| N.Ire ā¬ļø | - | 18 | - | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
Scotland EC Break-Down (š)
| Con | Lab | Lib | REF | Green | SNP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 31% |