https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1717995400303456696
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 49% (+7) CON: 21% (-3) LDM: 9% (=) RFM: 9% (+1) GRN: 7% (=)
Via @PeoplePolling , 23 Oct. Changes w/ 29 Mar.
Putting these figures into a prediction with tactical voting percentages has the Lib Dems forming the opposition. Pretty wild.
Wait so the SNP get 3.7% of the votes and get 26 seats but Reform get 9% and get no seats?
I'm not arguing for Reform but that's pretty fucked up, no?
Welcome to FPTP, a random number generator that we use to decide who runs the country.
Same thing happened with UKIP in 2015. Iirc they pulled in like 10% of the national vote and ended up with exactly zero seats.
Personally they're not my cup of tea, but you want to know why so many feel like politics isn't for them? Well the answer is right there.
I mean, it makes some sense, the SNP sort is highly concentrated, and we choose a MP for a constituency. Constituencies where reform are the leading party, according to this polling, don't exist, whereas a largest minority of people in 26 areas would like an SNP MP to represent them.
If you look at it from a national level it makes no sense, but going local on it, it does.
Take the situation where an independent gets in, nationally they will have considerably less support then even than reform but in that area ...