I think the consensus is generally that he would replace Ricciardo because Ricciardo would replace Checo. Thereβs really no reason Daniel wouldnβt be fast tracked into the Red Bull seat unless he truly has lost his speed and his F1 career comes to an end.
There is currently really no reason why Daniel Ricciardo should get a race seat at all. As a personality I really like him but he has shown nearly nothing pace-wise. His current injury is also self-inflicted and should therefore be counted on the minus list because he overlooked yellow flags and didn't brake early enough because of that (and didn't take his hands off the steering wheel).
I don't know what to think about Lawson as a character: to me he comes off as a bit arrogant but from what I've heard from the media the feedback about him in the paddock is that of a soberly focused guy. Obviously he doesn't hold a candle in charisma but that should not be what a team should primarily look in a racing driver.