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Harris leads Trump in Pennsylvania — and two bellwether PA counties — exclusive poll finds

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/09/16/harris-trump-pennsylvania-poll/75236006007/

Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Pennsylvania by 3 percentage points thanks to a major advantage with women voters, a USA TODAY poll found.

Harris leads Trump in Pennsylvania — and two bellwether PA counties — exclusive poll finds

Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, a trio of USA TODAY/Suffolk University polls found.
Harris leads Trump 49%-46% in Pennsylvania, a statewide poll of 500 likely Pennsylvania voters conducted Sept. 11 to Sept. 15 found.
Harris also enjoys higher personal popularity among likely Pennsylvania voters, with 49% having a favorable opinion of the vice president, compared to 47% with an unfavorable opinion.

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14 comments

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aalvare2

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Margin of error on this poll is 4.4%. Don’t even bother clicking this. Vote.

dance_ninja

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I was recently listening to NPR/public radio discuss the margin of error. There are 4 types, and only one of those are used when reporting poll numbers.

The recommendation was to double the reported number to get a better idea of the true margin of error.

Edit: Found it! It was from On the Media, WNYC. September 13th, 2024 episode around 27m:47s. Here's the link: https://pca.st/episode/3f8ff092-92b9-4767-9725-6dbe3af715be?t=1667

aalvare2

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Interesting, I’ll look more into that, thanks

dance_ninja

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Yeah I wish I could share a link to the article/podcast, but I'm having trouble finding it right now.

Edit: Found it! It was from On the Media, WNYC. September 13th, 2024 episode around 27m:47s. Here's the link: https://pca.st/episode/3f8ff092-92b9-4767-9725-6dbe3af715be?t=1667

aalvare2

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I appreciate the sleuthing! Was an interesting listen