https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-takes-7-point-lead-over-donald-trump-national-poll-1943901
Over the past few weeks, a majority of national aggregate polls have found an extremely tight race between Harris and Trump.
Vote and volunteer to give rides to those that wouldn't be able to vote without it. (if you can)
Clinton especially. That +8 margin of victory made Dems complacent.
If we turn out for Harris the same way we did for Biden on 2020, for the exact same reasons, we'll win handedly. It wouldn't even be close.
Turn out and vote. Make it a hate vote if you must. Remember the four terrible years under Trump the Traitor and consider him within striking distance of the oval office once again.
I'd say ALL polling numbers mean jack shit, except for the set we get in November that's run by the States. Thus we must make sure our voices are heard in THAT poll, which means...VOTE!
Only matters if you live in one of the like 7 swing states that matter, otherwise just vote for whomever you want.
If Trump gets the Presidency, you still can affect national level politics by voting in your Representative and Senator.
If Democrats hold Senate and House, they can protect us more from Trump. Every state matters, because every state has 2 Senators at a minimum (and Senators are very, very powerful). Senators are state-wide and therefore immune to any gerrymandering (only House Members have the Gerrymandering problem)
There's also a slew of other local elections that can be equally, if not more important than national congressional races. A great deal of the GOP's ability to put a stranglehold on progress has been from their fairly dedicated takeover of statehouses and local elections. We need to have an even greater level of determination when it comes to showing up to vote. Every. Single. Election.
There are 100 senators.
66 are not on the ballot in 2024.
Of the 34 remaining, 23 are safe and 2 are likely.
That leaves 9 seats. 7 are leaning one way or the other.
2 are toss ups, Ohio and Montana. Vote if live there. Probably even the leaning 7. But the rest...?
As an aside, if all the leans break the way they are leaning, Dems have to hold the two toss ups to have a 50-50 Senate.
I plan to vote in Montana. I'll do you that favor if you do me the favor of not talking this way. Every vote matters in every election in every state. The only reason what you're saying is somewhat true is because people believe it's true. Don't perpetuate that idea.
I don't follow.
A vote cast for an unopposed candidate is a vote that doesn't matter, right?
I don't think so. There's never only unopposed candidates on a ballot.
That said, even if you were correct, who does it help to point that out?
Many down ballot positions are unopposed where I live. Of course, I think you only are talking about national seats.
The utility, then, is to note that safe seats operate similarly to unopposed seats especially when it comes to funding by national parties.
If you get enough people from the biggest party—the doesn’t vote party—to vote with you, then you also live in a swing state.