https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/16/us/politics/schiff-biden-democrats.html
Representative Adam B. Schiff of California told attendees at a Democratic fund-raiser that the party would lose the Senate and miss a chance to take the House if the president did not drop out.
Does it really? I've seen one single poll, conducted by CNN just after the debate, with 1045 people reached by telephone that showed Harris doing 4% better with a 3.5% margin of error. The more recent polls I've seen that lead has disappeared again. If there are other polls, especially polls with better power, that prove your point I'd love to see them. I'm by no means a Biden fan, but I also don't think Harris has a dependable edge.
Yes, the results of the CNN poll have been born out by subsequent polling:
On Friday, an NPR/PBS News/Marist poll of 1,174 registered voters suggests Harris, considered the best-placed person to replace President Joe Biden as the Democrat's 2024 nominee should he drop out of the race, would narrowly beat Trump in November's election (50 percent to 49).
The poll was released one day after an ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll of 2,431 adults found that Harris would beat Trump by three points overall (49 percent to 46) and among registered voters (49 percent to 47).
[Source]
Vice President Kamala Harris could narrowly beat Donald Trump in November, according to a new national poll from a Democratic pollster.
Harris is ahead by 1 point in the poll by the firm Bendixen & Amandi Inc. She would edge out Trump 42%-41%. The survey showed 12% undecided and 3% support going to third-party candidates. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. She's within a percentage point of Trump in most polling, while Biden lags several points behind.
[Source]
Combined that with Biden already losing the majority of swing states by multiple points: [Source]
Now stop hiding behind your ignorance like it's an argument and wasting everyone's time. The data we do have shows Harris having a chance at least, Biden is sure loss, there's literally no coherent argument againat replacing him when he is the single worst option.